deepakk040720@gmail.com By Deepak Kumar | November 11, 2025
Bihar Election 2025 Exit Poll: How Many Seats, Assembly elections have drawn to a close with a record-breaking voter turnout, and anticipation is running high as exit polls hint at a possible political shake-up. As the second phase of polling concluded on Tuesday evening, all eyes are now on the Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas) led by Chirag Paswan, one of the most closely watched figures in the NDA camp.
🔹 Bihar Election 2025 Exit Poll: How Many Seats / The Big Question: How Will LJP Perform?
Chirag Paswan’s Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas) contested 29 constituencies this election, though one nomination was rejected. The fight, therefore, comes down to 28 seats — and according to early exit poll trends, the LJP may be on track for a strong comeback.
Among the five major survey agencies tracking the Bihar elections, Chanakya’s exit poll stands out with the most optimistic forecast, projecting 14–19 seats for the LJP — a sharp rise from its lone-seat win in 2020.
🔸 What the Exit Polls Say
Here’s a snapshot of how different agencies are predicting LJP’s performance:
| Agency | Predicted Seats for LJP (Ram Vilas) |
|---|---|
| Matrize–IANS | 7–9 |
| Chanakya | 14–19 |
| Poll Diary | 12–16 |
| TIF Research | 12–14 |
| Polstrat | 9–12 |
While the seat range varies across agencies, the common thread is unmistakable — Chirag Paswan’s party seems to have made major gains since 2020.
🔹 A Comeback Story in the Making?
Chirag’s political journey has been anything but ordinary. In 2020, he had taken a risky route — contesting 135 seats independently, breaking away from the NDA in an attempt to assert his party’s identity. The gamble didn’t pay off; the LJP managed to secure just one seat — Matihani in Begusarai district.
This time, though, the story seems different. By returning to the NDA fold, Chirag appears to have leveraged both alliance strength and his personal popularity among young voters. His fiery campaign speeches, coupled with the LJP’s social media outreach, may have played a role in turning the tide.
🔸 The NDA Equation
If the exit polls hold true, the NDA bloc could be heading for another term, though with some reshuffling within its internal power structure. Sources suggest that Chirag’s improving numbers might translate into a stronger bargaining position post-results, particularly in terms of ministerial portfolios or central representation.
Political analysts note that Chirag’s rebranding of LJP under his father’s legacy — Ram Vilas Paswan’s name remains in the official title — has resonated emotionally with a section of Bihar’s electorate. His party’s focus on youth, infrastructure, and Dalit empowerment also appears to have struck a chord.
🔹 What Lies Ahead Bihar Election 2025 Exit Poll: How Many Seats,
While exit polls often provide a glimpse into public sentiment, Bihar’s political history is filled with surprises. Final results, scheduled for later this week, will determine whether LJP’s expected resurgence becomes reality — or remains another pre-result illusion.
But one thing is certain: Chirag Paswan is back in the conversation, and this election could mark his re-emergence as a key power broker within the NDA.
🗳️ In Summary
- Bihar recorded a historic voter turnout in 2025.
- Chirag Paswan’s LJP (Ram Vilas) contested 28 seats as part of the NDA alliance.
- Exit polls suggest a surge, with predictions ranging from 7 to 19 seats.
- Compared to just one seat in 2020, this could be a political comeback for Chirag.
- Analysts believe his return to NDA and youth-focused strategy worked in his favour.
📰 Bottom Line
From an underdog in 2020 to a potential kingmaker in 2025 — Chirag Paswan’s story may well become one of Bihar’s most striking political turnarounds. Whether the LJP’s performance matches these early exit poll expectations will be clear soon enough, but for now, the buzz is unmistakable: the son of Ram Vilas Paswan is scripting his own chapter in Bihar politics.
